Ararat Gocmen



PhD Candidate
Department of Economics
University College London
ararat.gocmen.19@ucl.ac.uk
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Hello! I am a PhD candidate in Economics at University College London.
I study labor and finance, focusing on migration and entrepreneurship. I am especially interested in how labor and capital markets interact with each other and the implications for inequality.
At UCL, I serve as a Research Officer at CReAM and a PhD Scholar at the UCL Stone Centre. I am also a Research Fellow at RFBerlin.
Before graduate school, I earned an AB in History from Princeton University and worked as a portfolio analyst at BlackRock. Then, as a Marshall Scholar, I obtained an MSc in Economics from UCL and an MA in History of Political Thought and Intellectual History from UCL and Queen Mary.

Working Papers

Private Capital Markets and Inequality - R&R, American Economic Review
with Clara Martínez-Toledano and Vrinda Mittal
Draft | Summary | VoxEU |

This paper examines how expanding private capital markets contribute to rising economic inequalities in the U.S. We show that the share of early-stage financing raised from U.S. high-net-worth individuals tripled from 2004 to 2022. Exploiting the expansion of the QSBS tax exclusion, we find that HNWIs’ investments made startups 5.6% more likely to stay private. Counterfactual simulations reveal that HNWIs’ excess returns on early-stage investments explain 26% of the growth in the top 0.5% wealth share over 2010-2022. Finally, investor entry increased incumbents’ returns and encouraged further investments, generating a self-reinforcing feedback loop between private capital market growth and inequality.

Presented at the NBER Summer Institute 2025 Household Finance and the NBER Public Economics Program Meeting Fall 2025.
Winner of the IIPF Peggy and Richard Musgrave Prize at the 2025 Annual Congress of the International Institute of Public Finance.

Works in Progress

Immigration and Firm Investment - Job Market Paper
Winner of the Best Paper Award in Labor and Public Economics at the 2026 Asia Meeting of the Econometric Society-China.
Immigration and Labor Market Tightness
with Thomas Cornelissen, Christian Dustmann, and Uta Schönberg
Presented at the Sixth World Labor Conference.